The Coal Boom: Burning ambitions
January 27, 2011
While Western countries are working to try and limit the burning of coal in an attempt to reduce the amount of carbon dioxide released into the atmosphere, coal remains the fuel of choice for a wide range of applications in the developing world and it use world wide is on a sharp uptick. China alone plans to build 600GW of coal-fired electrical generation in the next 25 years, an amount equal to the current coal-fired electricity industry in North America. This rate of growth means that, in spite of China’s large coal reserves, China will not be able to expand its mining capacity sufficiently to meet demand, increasing its dependency on coal imports.
China is not alone in its conundrum. Russia has vast reserves, but no infrastructure to get them to port. India has few reserves and those it has are of poor quality. Indonesia, a powerhouse in the Pacific, has only 17 years of reserves remaining. The result? Uncertainty, predicted record prices (e.g. $170/ton for thermal coal up from $110/ton), record numbers of mergers and acquisitions within the coal industry, and a world whose emissions keep drifting further from the levels recommended by the Kyoto protocol.
Read article at http://www.economist.com/node/18010727?story_id=18010727